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April 03, 2008

Some Phil Hughes Math

Last season, in terms of BA/OBA/SLG allowed, these were Phil Hughes' splits:

Home: .313/.375/.451 (161 BF)
Away: .148/.243/.313 (145 BF)

But, last season, Toronto, facing Hughes three times, did this against him (in 69 PA): .266/.319/.328 (And, two of those three games were in the Bronx.)

If I had to make a prediction for Hughes tonight, I would offer 90 to 100 pitches thrown, five to six innings pitched, and two to three earned runs allowed. And, if that happens, that's not bad at all. I think the Yankees, their fans, the media, and Hughes would all be fine with those results.

Posted by Steve Lombardi at April 3, 2008 04:04 PM


There's the obvious sample size issue here, but also, there's a context issue. Hughes first MLB start was against Toronto, and it wasn't pretty (although he looked sharp at times, the end line was nothing to write home about.) So, think about that when you're throwing these numbers up there.

Posted by: j [TypeKey Profile Page] at April 3, 2008 06:45 PM

Yes Steve, think about that stuff when putting anything on your blog other than "PHIL HUGHES IS THE MESSIAH". You are allowed to cite good numbers (despite equally low sample sizes), but not bad numbers. Otherwise, some p---y who can't even use his name will criticize you.

Posted by: Jeb [TypeKey Profile Page] at April 3, 2008 09:31 PM

Steve and J, I'm sorry that I wrote "p---y" but I'm just tired of the fact that it seems like nothing you write about Hughes will satisfy anyone. I don't think what you wrote was inaccurate, slanted, or anything. Also, your prediction was DEAD ON!

Posted by: Jeb [TypeKey Profile Page] at April 3, 2008 09:47 PM

Damn dude, who's criticizing? Just reminding Steve that Hughes's first start was against the Jays, and it wasn't pretty.

Step away from the keyboard.

Posted by: j [TypeKey Profile Page] at April 3, 2008 10:26 PM