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August 29, 2007
Key To Sweeping Sox In The Bronx?
In his last 7 starts against the Yankees, over the last two seasons, Curt Schilling has averaged 6.6 IP per game with an ERA of 5.28.
This tells me that the Yankees should score at least four runs tomorrow against Schilling. So, if the Yankees want a good shot at winning the game, and sweeping this current series, it makes sense for them to keep Boston to three runs or less in the day game on Thursday.
Sounds so simple, right? Well, check this out:
In his last 10 starts against the Red Sox, over the last three seasons, Worm Killer Wang has averaged 5.8 IP per game with an ERA of 4.79. This tells me that the Red Sox should score at least three runs tomorrow against Wang.
Looks like this game on Thursday could come down to a battle of the bullpens over the last three innings of the game. If this turns out to be true, I hope Torre plans on using Joba Chamberlain for two innings in the game (assuming that Joba has a small pitch count in his first inning of work).
Posted by Steve Lombardi at August 29, 2007 11:30 PM
Comments
According to the RULES, since he only had one day off, he can only throw one inning, right?
Posted by: JeremyM ![[TypeKey Profile Page]](http://www.waswatching.com/nav-commenters.gif)
at August 30, 2007 09:56 AM
According to the RULES, since he only had one day off, he can only throw one inning, right?
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No. It depends on how many pitches he has thrown.
Posted by: Raf at August 30, 2007 10:01 AM
I thought it was one day off for every inning.
So, since he threw Tuesday, yesterday was an off-day. And, if he throws 2 today, then he'll be off until Sunday.
Posted by: Steve Lombardi at August 30, 2007 10:09 AM
"In his last 10 starts against the Red Sox, over the last three seasons, Worm Killer Wang has averaged 5.8 IP per game with an ERA of 4.79. This tells me that the Red Sox should score at least three runs tomorrow against Wang."
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No Manny today though. He's had Wang's #. Career .591/.654/.864.
Posted by: redbug at August 30, 2007 10:44 AM
"I thought it was one day off for every inning.
So, since he threw Tuesday, yesterday was an off-day. And, if he throws 2 today, then he'll be off until Sunday."
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That's my understanding as well. However, there's a story in this morning's Post that Joe and Nardi Contreas are re-evaluting the rules. Maybe to modify it based on pitch count rather than innings. Since he's been up for about a month and has adjusted well, and he's averaging only about 14 pitches per inning this makes sesnse.
Posted by: redbug at August 30, 2007 10:49 AM
Thanks - I have something up on that now
Posted by: Steve Lombardi at August 30, 2007 11:05 AM