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May 22, 2007

Do The Red Sox Have Moose's Number?

I was just looking at Mike Mussina's stats against Boston, over the last five years. Here are his ERA and Batting Average Allowed (BAA) against the Sox each season:

Year - ERA - BAA

2002 - 3.12 - .215
2003 - 3.04 - .163
2004 - 3.50 - .268

2005 - 7.20 - .369
2006 - 4.77 - .305

Clearly, Mussina owned the Sox from 2002-2004. But, since 2005, Boston has beat up on Moose.

Further, from 2005-2006, the Red Sox have an OPS of .923 against Mussina at Yankee Stadium.

You may be seeing Matt DeSalvo in the game tonight pretty early...if this trend keeps up for Mussina.

Posted by Steve Lombardi at May 22, 2007 01:34 PM

Comments

FWIW, the Sox OPS vs. Mussina at the Stadium, from 2002-2004 was .520. That's really low. Somewhere around 2005, they figured him out - but good.

Posted by: Steve Lombardi [TypeKey Profile Page] at May 22, 2007 01:49 PM

I remember all the stats on how Moose owned the Sawx, etc, etc. Lately it sure hasn't felt that way.

I guess the only positive from Moose starting is that Julian Tavarez is starting for the Sawx. But he did end up shutting down the Yanks the last time he pitched a few weeks back.

I'd hate to lose this feeling right now. It doesn't matter if the Yanks are playing the Sawx, Devil Rays, or the Mudhens. They Yanks need a sweep, they need to win today and tomorrow. They need a 7 game win streak in the worse way.

Posted by: Garcia [TypeKey Profile Page] at May 22, 2007 02:00 PM

1. Moose's 2005 numbers against the Red Sox came in a whopping 20 IP. Small sample size.

2. The Red Sox lineup, as like other teams, varies greatly for year-to-year. To say that this current lineup "owns" Mussina because the 2005-2006 team did ignores the fact that this lineup does not resemble the 2005 lineup.

Posted by: Ben K. [TypeKey Profile Page] at May 22, 2007 02:35 PM

Yeah, this year's line-up is probably better than 2005.

Posted by: Steve Lombardi [TypeKey Profile Page] at May 22, 2007 03:05 PM

~~~Yeah, this year's line-up is probably better than 2005.~~~

Probably is. That has no bearing on what sort of success they will or will not have against Mussina tonight though.

Posted by: Ben K. [TypeKey Profile Page] at May 22, 2007 03:18 PM

Besides Lowell and.... Doug Mirabelli... no one has GREAT numbers against him:

http://forums.nyyfans.com/showpost.php?p=4147314&postcount=1

*Hope linking to that site doesn't break any rules or anything*

Posted by: JJay [TypeKey Profile Page] at May 22, 2007 03:20 PM

I hope the 2005-2006 trend does not continue as I will be at the game tonight. Hoping for a win.

Posted by: rmd0311 [TypeKey Profile Page] at May 22, 2007 03:27 PM

Fine, but this is not Mussina against a replacement level pitcher. It's Mussina against Tavarez. Who, BTW, happens to be facing the 2007 Yankees lineup

All other things being equal the Yankees are the clear favorites in this game.

That's called "getting that swagger back."

Posted by: Jason O. [TypeKey Profile Page] at May 22, 2007 03:33 PM

~~~That has no bearing on what sort of success they will or will not have against Mussina tonight though.~~~

Would you rather we went with Moose's 2007, to date, ERA/BAA: 5.64/.299 ?

Either way, the numbers do not favor Mussina in this game.

Posted by: Steve Lombardi [TypeKey Profile Page] at May 22, 2007 03:56 PM

So would you rather have Julian Tavarez starting for us and Moose on the Sox?

Posted by: JJay [TypeKey Profile Page] at May 22, 2007 04:47 PM

Can I answer in hindsight?

Posted by: Steve Lombardi [TypeKey Profile Page] at May 22, 2007 11:24 PM

Can I answer in hindsight?
---------
You may, but keep in mind how much affection Manny seems to have for Tavarez. You'd have him running to the Yankee dugout between innings to cuddle.

Posted by: snowball003 [TypeKey Profile Page] at May 22, 2007 11:32 PM