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November 08, 2006

BA's Top Ten List

Hot off the presses - Baseball America's Top 10 Yankees Prospects:

TOP TEN PROSPECTS

1. Philip Hughes, rhp
2. Jose Tabata, of
3. Dellin Betances, rhp
4. Joba Chamberlain, rhp
5. Ian Kennedy, rhp
6. Chris Garcia, rhp
7. Tyler Clippard, rhp
8. J. Brent Cox, rhp
9. Mark Melancon, rhp
10. Brett Gardner, of

BEST TOOLS

Best Hitter for Average Jose Tabata
Best Power Hitter Shelly Duncan
Best Strike-Zone Discipline Brett Gardner
Fastest Baserunner Brett Gardner
Best Athlete Tim Battle
Best Fastball Joba Chamberlain
Best Curveball Philip Hughes
Best Slider J. Brent Cox
Best Changeup Tyler Clippard
Best Control Philip Hughes
Best Defensive Catcher Francisco Cervelli
Best Defensive Infielder Ramiro Pena
Best Infield Arm Marcos Vechionacci
Best Defensive Outfielder Tim Battle
Best Outfield Arm Seth Fortenberry

Eight of the top ten are pitchers. While that's exciting, I can't help but to think about "Wilson, Pulsipher, and Isringhausen."

Posted by Steve Lombardi at November 8, 2006 12:52 PM

Comments

The point being?

Maybe better to have no pitchers in the top ten prospects?

Trade 'em all now before they get hurt?

Who needs pitching to win?

Posted by: Don [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 8, 2006 01:50 PM

The point would be to suggest that no one should look at this list and say, "Wow. There are 8 of the 10 pitchers who will be on the Yankees staff in 2009!" And, that, to be practical, if just 2 of the 8 make it with the Yankees, and do well, that should not be unexpected.

Posted by: Steve Lombardi [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 8, 2006 02:10 PM

They weren't the only pitching prospects in history, you know. For every prospect that blew out his arm or failed, there's one who went on to become Andy Pettitte, Roger Clemens, Roy Halladay, Scott Kazmir, Dontrelle Willis, etc., etc., etc. Worrying about your good pitching prospects either getting hurt or disappointing you is like not leaving your house because you may get hit by a car -- yeah, it COULD happen, but you still have to live your life.

Posted by: baileywalk [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 8, 2006 02:12 PM

I think the probability of a pitching prospect bombing is 1000% higher than that of someone getting hit by a car, no?

Posted by: Steve Lombardi [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 8, 2006 02:24 PM

I'd put it the other way. For every prospect who went on to become Andy Pettitte, Roger Clemens, Roy Halladay, Scott Kazmir, Dontrelle Willis, etc., etc., etc., there are ten - or a hundred - who blew out their arms or failed.

Posted by: JL25and3 [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 8, 2006 03:09 PM

I think a more valid point might be that the Yank's system seems barren of quality position players. That's especially true if 75% of the listed pitchers will be busts.

Posted by: tmcm650 [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 8, 2006 03:20 PM

Like I said over in the other thread

"...I'm thinking of cases like Wood-Zambrano-Prior (Cubs), or Zito-Mulder-Hudson (Oakland), or all the arms that came out of the Astros system not too long ago (Oswalt-Reynolds-Miller-Elarton-Wagner-Lidge). Or the Dodgers' system (Martinez-Nomo-Valdez-Astacio), so on and so forth."

Maybe they'll pan out, maybe they won't, but I'm happy to see that we have a good number of pitching prospects. The more we have, the better chance that one will work out

Posted by: Raf [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 8, 2006 03:24 PM

~~~I think a more valid point might be that the Yank's system seems barren of quality position players.~~~

True, but, on the flip side, on the big league level, almost every position - sans catcher - has something like 3 or 4 years left on their deal.

Posted by: Steve Lombardi [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 8, 2006 03:31 PM

And if 8 of the 10 were hitters you'd be unhappy about that.

Would you recognize a silver lining if you saw one?

Posted by: RICH [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 8, 2006 05:12 PM

Ill take 2 pitching prospects making it every yr.

teams would kill for that ratio

and id rather have high end pitching prospects than hitters. u can always find hitters. u cant always find pitching. plus u can easily trade excess pitching

ask tampa how having all those hitters is.

Posted by: Josh [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 8, 2006 06:01 PM

I think the probability of a pitching prospect bombing is 1000% higher than that of someone getting hit by a car, no?
------------
C'mon, Steve, are you kidding me? It's not about people getting hit by cars (though 50,000 people DIE a YEAR in car crashes).

It's about the fact that fearing if something COULD happen is pointless. Good things can happen, bad things can happen -- but worrying about something you cannot predict does nothing but paralyze you.

Posted by: baileywalk [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 8, 2006 06:41 PM