August 20, 2006
I was just looking at the Yankees hitters stats against Curt Schilling.
Damon, Cano and Posada have owned Schilling in their career. When they face Curt, it's like batting practice for them.
Whereas Jeter and A-Rod can't touch Schilling. Giambi's been all-or-nothing against Schilling: .269 OBP and a .583 SLG%.
Lastly, Abreu has done well against Schilling in his career as well. Bernie Williams has also hit Schilling well in the past - but he was younger in the past too.
The A-Rod numbers off Schilling are .179/.207/.393 (BA/OBP/SLG) in 28 ABs (with 8 K's). Jeter is just as bad: .222/.243/.306 in 36 ABs (with 11 Ks).
Does it make sense for Torre to play Green at 3B tonight - going for defense (which Mussina would love) and then bat Posada 5th and Cano 6th in the line-up? (And, give Alex the night off in the process.)
What are the odds of this happening?
It's a shame - because, based on the numbers, it's the right move. It's like sitting Tino and Boggs in the 1996 World Series. But, that was a different Torre, I guess.
I just hope that Torre does not give Giambi the night off - and then bats A-Rod clean-up. Having Jeter and A-Rod one batter apart against Schilling is like giving the Red Sox 4 innings where they know they can get two quick outs.
I also hope that Damon, Cano, Posada and Abreu do what they always do against Schilling this evening.
Posted by Steve Lombardi at August 20, 2006 02:52 PM
I think your "based on the numbers" comment says it all. Baseball isn't all numbers, it's people / personalities, too. Maybe if there was a better substitute than Nick Green, but there isn't.
Torre's job isn't managing an assembly line. Sometimes the best move you do is the one you don't do. With the team doing well the last 3 games why upset the apple cart unless there's a better alternative.
As long as we're going for defense let Wilson play 1B, Green 3B, and DH Williams or Guiel (I don't know his numbers vs Schilling). Will the defense be good enough then? The offense wouldn't suffer according to your numbers.
Oh Steve, how quickly we forget that shot he hit off of Schilling in the 9th last year to dead center at Fenway. Maybe you don't recall it because it hasn't landed yet?
I do realize that was a different Schilling but that's one reason you play A-Rod.
Don't forget the laser home run Alex had off Schill in May.
"Bernie Williams... was younger in the past too."
The rest of the lineup wasn't?
Steve, the odds are 100%.
The lineup has Green at 3b, A-Rod at DH.
Looks like you get your wish - Peter Abraham is reporting Arod will DH tonight, Jeter tomorrow. I'll assume it's Green playing both games.
Now if Schilling shuts down the Yanks I predict the Torre bashers will blame him for putting Green in tonight's lineup (and tomorrow, Fasano and Green) and giving up any momentum if the Yanks lose a game or 2.
How about you Steve? You predicted 1 or 2 wins this series, if Boston takes the last 2 will you be satisfied?
Yes and no.
Yes, because that's great - 3 of 5.
No, because they won the first three.
Posted by: Steve Lombardi at August 20, 2006 10:57 PM