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August 23, 2006

The Power Of Abreu & Giambi

Here are the Yankees team batting stats this season, by month:

MonthByMonth.jpg

The first thing I noticed here was May. Look at that team slugging percentage. Even with the great month of May from Alex Rodriguez, the Yankees were punch-less in May.

June is interesting here as well. The Yankees hitters were mixed in June - half doing well and the other half not helping. A-Rod and Giambi not hitting in June worked against the Yankees.

In July, Giambi was invisible again - as he hit .186 that month - but, Jeter, Damon, Cabrera and A-Rod were swinging good sticks for the Yankees last month.

And, this brings us to August. Notice the numbers - so far, this month, the Yankees offense is back to being the high-powered machine it was back in April.

Bobby Abreu is a big part of this - and having Giambi hit better than he did in June and July helps too.

Thinking about this, I now believe that Abreu and Giambi are the keys to the Yankees offense.

Look at it this way: Suppose that Abreu & Giambi average 9 pitches per PA between the two of them in a game. On average, by the fifth inning of a game, the two of them would force the starting pitcher to throw over 27 pitches just pitching to two batters.

Considering that most starting pitchers are only good for 100 quality pitches per game, Abreu and Giambi eat up over 25% of what a starter has to offer - by the 5th inning of a game! Then, factor in Damon, Jeter and the others and you can see what's happening here. Once again, the Yankees are back to that mode of "Get the starter out early and attack the other team's weak link - their middle men in the pen."

Mark it down now - as go Abreu and Giambi in the post-season this year, so will the Yankees. These two are the keys for the Yankees batting success.

Posted by Steve Lombardi at August 23, 2006 10:21 AM

Comments

Well, so far, Giambi is staying true to his cyclical hitting (http://www.yanksblog.com/item/916) with his hot August so theoretically, we're looking at a down September and a hot October...I wouldn't mind that one bit.

Posted by: James Varghese [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 23, 2006 11:13 AM

Abreu and Giambi's offense should be a key to the postseason but I think it will come down to pitching, as it always seems to.

Posted by: RICH [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 23, 2006 11:36 AM

That doesn't add up:

"Look at it this way: Suppose that Abreu & Giambi average 9 pitches per PA between the two of them in a game."

If I'm reading this correctly this means that they'll see an average of 4.5 pitches per at bat each, not 9. If that were the case they would see approximately 27 by the 5th inning assuming they each had 3 ABs. Still good, but not 50 pitches by the 5th seen by 2 guys.

Posted by: JJay [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 23, 2006 11:37 AM

JJay - here was my logic:

I figured 5.5 ABs per game, on average.
That's .61111 AB per inning.
Times the .61111 per 5, for 5 innings, and that's 3.06 ABs for each of them, on average, by the time the game is in the 5th inning.

Sounds right, no?

OK, then take the 3.06 and times that by two - for Giambi and Abreu - that's 6.12.

Take those 6.12 ABs, combined, which they will have through 5 innings, and allow for 4.5 pitches per AB. And, the answer is.......shoot, you're right, 27.5.

I have to edit this now. Thanks for the heads-up.

Yes, I was not a math major!

Posted by: Steve Lombardi [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 23, 2006 11:58 AM

Anyone know the status of Sheffield entering the lineup? We might see some dramatic changes if we see a lineup such as:
Damon
Jeter
Abreu
Giambi
Sheffield
Rodriguez
Cano
Posada
Cabrera
... and then there the addition of Matsui... Murderers Row revisited...

Posted by: Athos333 [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 23, 2006 02:39 PM