April 02, 2006
Why The Yankees Will Lose Tomorrow....
....because it almost always happens.
First, in the last 10 years (prior to this one), the Yankees have only "opened" at home twice (2001 & 2005).
And, in those 8 times where they started the year on the road, their record is 3-5 in "Opening Days." (If you exclude 1996, then the record is 2-5.)
Which three "roadies" did they win?
1996 - at the Indians, 7-1.
2000 - at the Angels, 3-2.
2003 - at the Blue Jays, 8-4.
How about, in the last ten years, when they opened on the West Coast, how did those go?
1997 - at the Mariners, lost, 4-2.
1998 - at the Angels, lost, 4-1.
1999 - at the A's, lost, 5-3.
2000 - at the Angels, won, 3-2.
That's 1-3 and the one win was a close one. Not good.
How about just the last four years?
2002 - at the Orioles, lost, 10-3.
2003 - at the Blue Jays, won, 8-4.
2004 - at the Devil Rays (in Japan), lost, 8-3.
2005 - Red Sox at NY, won, 9-2.
OK, that's a little better - it's .500. But, still, not overly impressive - considering that it's the O's, Jays, and Rays in the mix.
Now, on the plus side, in the years where they won "Game 1" on the road, New York went on to the World Series in those seasons. In fact, if you look at all the Torre "WS Years" this is how they did in Game 1:
1996 - Won @ Indians, 7-1.
1998 - Lost @ Angels, 4-1.
1999 - Lost @ A's, 5-3.
2000 - Won @ Angels, 3-2.
2001 - Won vs. KC in NY, 7-3.
2003 - Won @ Jays, 8-4.
So, is it safe to say if the Yankees win, or lose a close game, in Game 1 of a season that it's a good sign?
At this stage of the year, I'll roll with that.
Posted by Steve Lombardi at April 2, 2006 08:39 PM
Do any of the glasses in your house ever have any water in them or are they always empty?
True story: Years ago, I worked at a bank. I was there for a while. After a point, my boss used to make me sit in meetings that I had nothing to do with (they were on projects that did not fall under the group that I worked in).
Finally, someone once said "Why is Steve in this meeting?" - and my boss answered (with something like):
"Steve is going to listen to everything we say and then tell us what we're missing and where there's risk of failure. He just has a gift for really thinking about something and finding the holes."
Yeah, that was one way to say my glass is always have empty, but, I took it was a compliment.....
Of course, I could say that all this worry and fretting is going to take years off my life, but, then someone would just say I'm doing the half-empty thing again......
Posted by: Steve Lombardi at April 2, 2006 10:35 PM
A good sign will be if the yankees are in first place in September by about 6 games, with their pitching staff healthy.
to me- that's a good sign- not whether or not they win the first 1/162nd of their games....one game does not a season make (unless it is game 7 of the world series...then I'll make an exception)