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April 26, 2006

Fearless (?) Updated Prediction

Three months ago, I thought that the Yankees would win 90 games this season. Now, looking at the Yankees schedule, and how they've played in their first 18 games, I want to change that to 99 wins for the season. The prediction breakdown now being:


That's right. I think the Yankees will have a big May and June. Then, they'll play slightly over .500 during July and August - and will close out with a huge September.

Mark it down: May, June, and September - those are the months where the Yankees can make their money this season.

Of course, they also need to keep their head above water during April, July and August to make those 99 wins.

And, 99 wins should be good for another A.L. East crown this year.

Update, 4:43 pm ET, 4-26-06:

Funny, I just went to CoolStandings.com and this is what I saw:


Note that their system now predicts 98.2 wins for the Yankees this season - pretty darn close to 99, huh?

Posted by Steve Lombardi at April 26, 2006 04:32 PM


From your mouth to God's ears, Steve. I'll take 99 wins quite happily.

One thing I noticed from those standings is that the Yankees's Pythagorean record is 13-5, while the Sox's Pythagorean record is 11-9. That's a huge difference from the actual record, and shows you what small sample size and a bunch of blowout wins will do for you. But the fact is that both the Yankees' pitching and the Yankees' hitting have been pretty damn good so far this season. Now, three weeks into the season, it's really starting to feel like the team is firing on all cylinders.

Posted by: carla [TypeKey Profile Page] at April 26, 2006 05:17 PM

Well, now it feels like it's back to square one. This team is bipolar.

Posted by: JeremyM [TypeKey Profile Page] at April 26, 2006 11:26 PM