February 06, 2006
Unit - More Than 16 Wins in 2006 A Miracle?
Via the Sabermetric Baseball Encyclopedia, I was just looking at all A.L. Pitchers, since the DH Rule, age 42 or older - to see who had the best season ever:
When I look at this list, I think the expectation for the Big Unit should be 16 wins this season - and if anything higher happens it would be something special, indeed.
Posted by Steve Lombardi at February 6, 2006 09:49 AM
RJ has one huge advantage: he's freakishly tall. His height will slow his aging process because it provides him a natural advantage that does not change. He makes every ball look like it's coming in from a weird angle with an extra 1-2 mph of velocity. Plus his control is still excellent.
I have Randy pegged for a pretty good year. 3.40-3.60 ERA with 200+ innings.
FWIW, I once asked Dr. Mike Marshall -
"Is there one particular body type which is more favorable for pitching?"
His answer: No, the baseball does not know the body type of the person applying force and release spin.
Anywho, I am rooting for Randy - I just to have the data to support a lock for a good season.
Posted by: Steve Lombardi at February 6, 2006 11:22 AM
Should be "don't" instead of "to."
Posted by: Steve Lombardi at February 6, 2006 11:28 AM
RJ has one huge advantage: he's freakishly tall.
Actually, the advantage he has is that he's still a flamethrower. Look at the number of times Ryan made the list.
I wouldn't put too much stock in winning percentage, or W-L records. You can't convince me that a 20-10, 4.50 pitcher is better than a 10-20, 2.25 pitcher.
I too think that RJ will have a good season this year and put up very good peripheral stats.
However, I also think that he will put up a good W-L record too - I fully expect 18 wins from the man with the bionic knee, but hey, I've been wrong before.
Posted by: James Varghese at February 6, 2006 02:04 PM
To be more specific:
18-9, 3.55 ERA, 215 Innings, 50 BBs, 230 Ks.
Posted by: James Varghese at February 6, 2006 02:09 PM
But wins are so subjective. It really depends on how the Yankees offense plays while RJ's on the hill.
Posted by: Benjamin at February 6, 2006 02:16 PM